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Saints (12-0) at Falcons (6-6)
Sunday, 1 p.m.
Line: Saints by 10 1/2

Drew Brees, like Tom Waits, is an unappreciated American master. He’s as good as Peyton Manning and Tom Brady, the Bob Dylan and Bruce Springsteen of contemporary quarterbacks. (Brett Favre is Woody Guthrie, Brady Quinn is John Mayer, Jake Delhomme sings about credit reports.) Brees is finally getting recognition after several seasons as the least-heralded 4,000-yard passer in N.F.L. history. Brees is good enough to carry the Saints when their run defense is ineffective and their secondary is manned by McCornerbacks: extra-value veterans acquired off the waiver wire (Chris McAlister, just released in favor of Marcus McCauley) and the season-ticket list (Mike McKenzie).

With Matt Ryan still battling turf toe, Chris Redman may get another start. Redman sold insurance for two years after the Ravens released him, and he looked last Sunday like a man more comfortable with a premium table than a playbook. This week, he brings kerosene from the castle while the Saints sail for Singapore.

Dolphins (6-6) at Jaguars (7-5)
Sunday, 1 p.m.
Line: Jaguars by 2 1/2

The inexplicable Jaguars have scored only six passing touchdowns, recorded 10 sacks, been outscored, 122-88, in the second half of the season, fumbled 21 times and missed seven field goals from 40 yards out. Yet they have a 7-5 record and a legitimate shot at a wild-card berth. Even the rough patches in their schedule are smoothing — if the Colts clinch home-field advantage with a win against the Broncos, the Jaguars will face Curtis Painter’s Barnstorming Nobodies instead of Peyton Manning and company in Week 15.

All of the good fortune has the Jaguars believing that fate has played a hand. “Yeah, it does feel like a year of destiny,” David Garrard said this week. Destiny is even manifest on at least one player’s body: the rookie lineman Eben Britton has “sacrifice for destiny” tattooed in Latin on his arm. (That’s not unusual in Jacksonville; Byron Leftwich had Tardus un Vindico on his wrist). Destiny works in strange ways, like 23-20 overtime wins against the Rams. Garrard also called 2007 a year of destiny, though he doesn’t appear on any Giants roster we could find. With the owner Wayne Weaver saying he will consider drafting Tim Tebow, Garrard’s real destiny may lie elsewhere.

Bills (4-8) at Chiefs (3-9)
Sunday, 1 p.m.
Line: even

The Bills have started 10 different offensive linemen this season; the 11th, if forced to play, wins a coupon redeemable for a turkey breast or a ham on Dec. 23. The Bills have used seven different line combinations; they will go for eight if Kirk Chambers (one of four starting right tackles this season) is replaced by Jamon Meredith. The Chiefs have only 17 sacks despite a blitz-happy 3-4 defense, but a visit from the Bills will add ballast to their season stats. Fashionistas take note: despite the presence of two A.F.L. teams, this is not an official legacy game, and the Bills will no longer wear their throwback uniforms. Ralph Wilson has already put that helmet image of a bison back in the Lascaux cave where he found it.

Lions (2-10) at Ravens (6-6)
Sunday, 1 p.m.
Line: Ravens by 13

The Ravens are one of seven A.F.C. teams between 5-7 and 6-6 and hoping for a holiday miracle, but the schedule looks promising: wins against the Lions, Bears and either the Steelers or Raiders will give them a shot at the postseason. The Lions won’t determine Matthew Stafford’s status until kickoff. The Ravens can be hard on both opposing quarterbacks and people with shoulder injuries: two referees strained their rotator cuffs while throwing 23 penalty flags on Monday night.

Jets (6-6) at Buccaneers (1-11)
Sunday, 1 p.m.
Line: Jets by 3

The Jets unveiled some seven-man offensive line packages when Mark Sanchez injured his ankle last Thursday night. With Kellen Clemens starting, the Jets may want to unveil the final evolution of extra-lineman schemes: Thomas Jones in the Wildcat, with 10 blockers in front of him. Wayne Hunter and Robert Turner can play tight end, with Dustin Keller and Ben Hartsock at wing back and Tony Richardson at fullback. The Jets would need only three plays — left, right and middle — there would be no more Clemens flutterballs or Braylon Edwards Frisbee-dog impersonations, and Rex Ryan can stop pretending and devote all of his time and affection to the defense. As a long-term strategy, this Fat Cat formation has a few shortcomings, but it would provide ample offense to beat the Buccaneers.

Packers (8-4) at Bears (5-7)
Sunday, 1 p.m.
Line: Packers by 3

The Packers took an important step on Monday night. They played one of their sloppy, 11-penalty, 175-penalty-yard, three-turnover games against a good opponent, but they still won. The Packers are on a par with the Eagles, Giants and Cowboys, flawed teams hoping to make the N.F.C. playoff undercard, but their late schedule is difficult: they are on the road three of the next four weeks, and both the Steelers and Cardinals will have a lot to play for in the coming weeks. The Packers barely beat the Bears in Week 1, but the teams have gone in opposite directions since then. Jay Cutler likes to lobby for pass-interference penalties; he’ll follow Packers cornerback Tramon Williams around with a large neon sign this week.

Panthers (5-7) at Patriots (7-5)
Sunday, 1 p.m.
Line: Patriots by 13 1/2

The Patriots’ special teams are planning a mutiny this week. Bill Belichick keeps gambling on fourth down, forgetting that it’s no longer 2007 and he doesn’t have the personnel on either side of the ball to turn heap-of-your-earnings risks into 49-10 wins. The obscure special teams assistant Christian Fletcher, formerly offensive coordinator at Pitcairn Islands State, will order a kicking unit onto the field in any fourth-and-short situations. “I believe I did what honor dictated, and that belief sustains me, except for a slight desire to be dead which I’m sure will pass,” Fletcher said of his planned insurrection.

Seahawks (5-7) at Texans (5-7)
Sunday, 1 p.m.
Line: Texans by 6

This is only the second meeting ever between the Seahawks and Texans. The Seahawks won the last one, 42-10, in 2005. Shaun Alexander had four touchdowns. Walter Jones and Steve Hutchinson led the league’s best offensive line, and the Seahawks were Super Bowl contenders. When the Seahawks and Texans meet next, there will be hover cars and hover houses, but the Texans will still be hovering below .500, and Tim Ruskell will still be trying to shift blame for the Seahawks’ collapse during his tenure.

Redskins (3-9) at Raiders (4-8)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m.
Line: Redskins by 1

The Redskins have lost their past three games by 7 total points and have a respectable 87 points in four games. It’s a sign that Jason Campbell is coming around, that young receivers like Fred Davis and Devin Thomas have potential, and that someone in their play-calling daisy chain knows what he’s doing. That means it’s time for Dan Snyder to blow everything up. Bruce Gradkowski was named offensive player of the week for his performance against the Steelers; the sound you hear is Troy Polamalu sobbing and wondering why he posed for that video game cover.

Rams (1-11) at Titans (5-7)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m.
Line: Titans by 13

Vince Young and Chris Johnson get all the hype, but Titans defenders Kyle Vanden Bosch and Cortland Finnegan were named to the All-Fundamentals Team chosen by the N.F.L. Players Association and the USA Football organization. The unusual honor goes to “fundamentally sound players exhibiting football values of teamwork and responsibility.” Vanden Bosch and Finnegan greeted the news with a well-executed cheer and with a measured and situation-appropriate level of delight.